Life During a Pandemic
One can never predict with any accuracy the way a natural
catastrophe will unfold. But some speculation about life during the
time of a bird flu pandemic seems worthwhile. Things we might see
are the following:
- No country will be fully prepared for the event. This stems
from the fact that no government is ever prepared for any natural
catastrophe, as such preparations are prohibitively expensive. This
means the bulk of the population will not have access to medical
treatment when they need it. Families will be required to look
after themselves. Only the patients identified in the very first
stages of a bird flu pandemic are likely to receive treatment.
- Medical supplies for combating a bird flu pandemic in the human
population will probably be quickly exhausted. Even now, access to
such antivirals as Tamiflu is poor in most parts of the world. (In
late 2005 the makers of Tamiflu stepped up production to 10 times
the normal level in response to worldwide demand for the drug in
anticipation of an impending pandemic). Likewise, flu vaccines,
which require a long lead time for preparation (six months or more)
and can easily be "spoiled" due to inadequate preparation, will not
be available in the foreseeable future.
- Social disruption may be significant. When the loss of workers
begins to affect the delivery of food supplies, power, and water,
we are suddenly looking at a different kind of emergency
scenario--one reminiscent of the scenes that played out in New
Orleans after Hurricane Katrina struck in 2005. When the services
we take for granted every day suddenly disappear, people become
desperate and things break down rather quickly. This break down of
social order may be the most frightening prospect that an emerging
bird flu pandemic could bring about. The government itself warns
about this possibility on its own websites, so do take this
possibility seriously.
- Organize or join your Neighborhood Watch. Become aware of any
special needs of individuals in your neighborhood. Talk about bird
flu and the preparations you are making. Make plans to check on
elderly neighbors or people living alone.
- Ask your doctor or pharmacist about your prescriptions now.
Obtaining refills may be difficult if a pandemic occurs. Purchasing
90-day supplies may keep you ahead of the race.
- Prepare your children for the fact that disasters can occur.
Limit their exposure to the news. Children need family members to
be calm and available for conversations. Provide information in
factual yet simple language appropriate for their age level.
Younger children will express their fears through behavior not
verbally. Let them talk and listen to their concerns. Assure them
that you are doing your best to insure their safety and yours!
- Remember to provide additional food to help your pets survive
an extended stay at home too. There may be a remote chance that
your dog or cat could get the bird flu from you. Veterinarians are
also being updated on this possibility. The same advice is being
given to them about animals as for humans, provide comfort and
fluids.